央行：适度宽松货币政策效果显现！

Core Viewpoint - The financial data for the first half of 2025 indicates a reasonable growth in financial volume, with key indicators showing a slight rebound, supporting the real economy [1][11]. Group 1: Financial Data Overview - As of the end of June, the cumulative increment of social financing scale reached 22.83 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.74 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [1]. - New RMB loans amounted to 12.92 trillion yuan, with a social financing scale increment of nearly 4.2 trillion yuan in June alone [1]. - The year-on-year growth of the social financing scale stock was 8.9%, while the broad money supply (M2) grew by 8.3% and the RMB loan balance increased by 7.1% [1]. Group 2: M2 Growth Analysis - The M2 growth rate of 8.3% at the end of June was a 0.4 percentage point increase from the previous month, largely influenced by a low base effect from the previous year [3]. - The net financing of government bonds was a major driver for the growth of the social financing scale, with a cumulative net financing of 7.66 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, an increase of 4.32 trillion yuan year-on-year [3][4]. Group 3: Credit Growth and Structure - The RMB loan balance reached 268.56 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, and if adjusted for local government debt replacement, the growth rate would be around 8% [6]. - In the first half of the year, new loans totaled 12.92 trillion yuan, with corporate loans accounting for 89.5% of the total increase [6]. - The increase in medium- and long-term loans for enterprises was 7.17 trillion yuan, indicating stable financial support for the real economy [6]. Group 4: Economic Policy and Outlook - The People's Bank of China has implemented a series of monetary policy measures, including 12 reserve requirement ratio cuts and 9 interest rate reductions since 2020, leading to lower borrowing costs [10][11]. - The current monetary policy is described as "moderately loose," with expectations for continued reasonable growth in financial volume in the second half of the year [11][12].