2025年H1锂电池市场盘点：全球产量986.5Gwh，同比增长48.3%

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery market is expected to see significant growth in the first half of 2025, driven by domestic production and sales increases, as well as demand from the old-for-new policy and fluctuations in U.S. tariff policies [1][2]. Market Overview - In the first half of 2025, global lithium battery production reached 986.5 GWh, marking a 48.3% year-on-year increase, with power batteries contributing the most at 684 GWh (up 49%) and energy storage batteries exceeding 25% market share at 258 GWh (up 106%) [2][4]. Segment Analysis Power Segment - In China, the continuation of the old-for-new subsidy policy and the popularity of new models led to domestic new energy vehicle sales reaching 6.937 million units in the first half of 2025, a 40.3% increase year-on-year. The commercial vehicle market saw a significant demand increase, with sales of new energy commercial vehicles reaching 70,000 units (up 58.6%) [4][5]. - In the overseas market, the EU has eased carbon emission assessments for car manufacturers, and countries like Belgium and Poland are providing subsidies to stimulate local demand for new energy vehicles. The U.S. market, however, faced challenges due to policy changes affecting EV subsidies [4][5]. Energy Storage Segment - The energy storage market experienced strong demand in the first half of the year due to both preemptive stocking and installation needs. In China, the large-scale storage market was influenced by the cancellation of mandatory storage policies, leading to increased demand for upstream battery cells [5]. - Internationally, the U.S. maintained high demand for power storage, although fluctuating tariff policies created some disruptions. Europe saw a rise in demand as inventory was consumed, while markets in the Middle East and Southeast Asia continued to show strong demand [5]. Digital Consumer Segment - The introduction of the old-for-new policy for high-end electronic consumer goods set a positive tone for the digital consumer market in early 2025, with a noticeable recovery in demand for products like smartphones. The electric tools market is also expanding, particularly with the rise of humanoid robots [5]. Future Outlook - The overall demand in the domestic market is expected to remain strong, with Chinese lithium battery manufacturers like CATL, BYD, and Zhongchuang Innovation further increasing their global market share. The global lithium battery production is projected to exceed 2000 GWh in 2025, driven by the growth of popular new energy vehicle models and advancements in energy storage technology [6][8].