乘联分会·2025-07-16 08:39Group 1: Overview of the Automotive Market - From July 1 to 13, the national retail sales of passenger cars reached 571,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 7%, but a month-on-month decrease of 5%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 11.473 million units, up 11% year-on-year [1][4] - In the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars were 555,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 34% and a month-on-month decrease of 7%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 13.835 million units, up 13% year-on-year [1][6] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Market - Retail sales of new energy vehicles from July 1 to 13 reached 332,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 26%, with a retail penetration rate of 58.1%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 5.801 million units, up 33% year-on-year [1][4] - Wholesale sales of new energy vehicles were 316,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 37%, with a wholesale penetration rate of 56.9%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 6.763 million units, up 37% year-on-year [1][4] Group 3: Market Trends and Predictions - The automotive market is expected to enter a consolidation phase in July, with a longer summer break anticipated. The retail sales in July have shown a trend of being less affected by seasonal factors in recent years [4][5] - The replacement rate in the industry has stabilized above 60% since February 2025, becoming a major driving force for the passenger car market [4] Group 4: Pickup Truck Market Analysis - In June 2025, the pickup truck market sold 48,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, with a total of 307,000 units sold in the first half of the year, up 16.4% year-on-year [7][8] - The demand for pickups is primarily concentrated in the southwest and northwest regions, accounting for 44.5% of total demand [7] Group 5: Electric Vehicle Development - The development of electric vehicles is seen as a comprehensive competitive advantage for the industry, with significant room for technological innovation. The relationship between electrification and intelligence is viewed as symbiotic, where intelligence enhances electrification [10][11] - The production of power and other batteries in June reached 129.2 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 51.4%, with a cumulative production of 697.3 GWh in the first half of the year, up 60.4% year-on-year [12][13] Group 6: Sales Progress and Forecast - The sales progress for the first half of 2025 indicates that the domestic fuel vehicle sales reached 48%, new energy vehicle sales reached 40%, and exports reached around 45%, which aligns well with annual targets [14]