【库存系数】2025年6月汽车经销商库存系数为1.42

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the inventory levels of automobile dealers in China for June 2025, highlighting a rise in inventory coefficients and the impact of promotional activities on sales [2][3][5]. Group 1: Inventory Levels - In June 2025, the comprehensive inventory coefficient for automobile dealers was 1.42, which represents a month-on-month increase of 2.9% and a year-on-year increase of 1.4%. This level is below the warning line but higher than the reasonable range [2][3]. - The total inventory of automobile dealers at the end of June is estimated to be around 2.95 million vehicles, based on a retail market sales figure of 2.085 million vehicles for the month [5]. Group 2: Brand Performance - The inventory coefficient for high-end luxury and imported brands was 1.38, showing a month-on-month increase of 5.3%. The inventory coefficient for joint venture brands was 1.26, up by 4.1%. In contrast, the inventory coefficient for domestic brands slightly decreased by 0.7% to 1.50 [6]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The article expresses cautious expectations for market demand in July 2025, noting that July is traditionally a slow season for automobile consumption. Factors such as high temperatures, rainy weather, and the effects of June's promotional activities are expected to weaken potential market demand [7]. - The China Automobile Dealers Association suggests that dealers should rationally estimate actual market demand and enhance the promotion of "old-for-new" and scrapping policies to boost consumer confidence [7].