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专访中财办原副主任尹艳林:减少政府对房地产市场的直接干预
21世纪经济报道·2025-07-17 15:01

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the economic outlook for China during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing the need for deeper reforms to address current economic challenges and set appropriate growth targets for the future [2][4][28]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Targets - The average economic growth rate during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is approximately 5.5%, with a target of around 5% for the current year [1][5]. - The GDP is expected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year, marking significant growth from previous years [1][6]. - Experts suggest setting a growth target of around 5% for the "15th Five-Year Plan," considering the need to achieve modernization goals by 2035 [7][8]. Group 2: Effective Demand and Consumption - The article identifies insufficient effective demand as a major issue, driven by external pressures and weak domestic consumption, particularly in the real estate sector [10]. - Recommendations to boost effective demand include stabilizing the real estate market, increasing residents' income, and removing consumption restrictions [11][12]. Group 3: Real Estate Market Dynamics - The real estate market has shown signs of stabilization, with a decrease in the sales area and sales volume of new homes, but confidence still needs to be restored [20][21]. - Future strategies to support the real estate market include removing restrictive policies, reducing the financial burden on homebuyers, and enhancing financial support for housing projects [21][23]. Group 4: Service Industry Development - The service sector is increasingly important, and there is a need to align service supply with consumer demand by breaking down barriers to entry and encouraging investment [16][17]. - Policies should support the development of the service industry through financial incentives and reducing unnecessary regulatory hurdles [17][18]. Group 5: Deepening Reforms - The article emphasizes the importance of deepening reforms to address economic challenges, including enhancing the role of state-owned enterprises and promoting a unified national market [28][29]. - Key reform areas include improving market regulation, reducing government intervention, and expanding institutional openness to align with international standards [30].