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存款利率再降!3个月期击穿1%
21世纪经济报道·2025-07-23 15:23

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the continuous decline in bank deposit rates, with many banks entering the "1 era" for medium to long-term rates, indicating a broader trend of decreasing interest rates in the banking sector [1][2][4]. Summary by Sections Bank Deposit Rates - As of June 2025, the average interest rates for various term deposits are as follows: 3-month at 0.949%, 6-month at 1.156%, 1-year at 1.287%, 2-year at 1.372%, 3-year at 1.695%, and 5-year at 1.538% [3]. - Compared to May, the rates have decreased: 3-month by 5.5 basis points (BP), 6-month by 5.6 BP, 1-year by 5.2 BP, 2-year by 5.6 BP, 3-year by 1.6 BP, and 5-year by 3.5 BP [3]. Factors Influencing Rate Changes - The decline in deposit rates was anticipated following the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) reduction of the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) on May 20, which led major banks to lower their deposit rates by up to 25 BP [3][4]. - The ongoing marketization of interest rates and the pressure on banks' net interest margins are contributing to the trend of decreasing deposit rates [4][5]. Large Certificates of Deposit (CDs) - The average interest rates for large CDs have also decreased, with 3-month at 1.179%, 6-month at 1.391%, 1-year at 1.477%, 2-year at 1.462%, 3-year at 1.768%, and 5-year at 1.700% [7]. - The decline in rates is more pronounced for longer-term CDs, with significant reductions observed across all terms compared to May [7]. Structural Deposits - The average term for structured deposits has increased to 103 days, with an average expected middle yield of 1.78% and an average expected maximum yield of 2.14% [11]. - The yields for structured deposits linked to various assets have shown mixed trends, with some categories experiencing declines while others, like those linked to indices, have seen slight increases [12]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the downward trend in deposit rates will continue due to multiple factors, including the need for banks to manage their funding costs and the overall low-interest-rate environment [13]. - The expectation is that banks will further adjust their deposit rates to mitigate risks associated with high-interest liabilities in a declining rate environment [9][13].