“只要大家还都假装有共识，就还能赚钱”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving landscape of investment in AI, questioning whether AI should be treated as an "absolute truth" and highlighting the differences between the current AI wave and the previous mobile internet boom [2][11][17]. Group 1: AI and Investment Landscape - The current AI startup scene is compared to the past mobile internet era, with a sense of nostalgia for the opportunities that have since diminished [2][11]. - The concept of AI is seen as a buzzword that may not hold the same transformative power as previously believed, with the focus shifting to large models rather than AI as a whole [13][15]. - The investment community is characterized as being caught in a consensus game, where collective belief drives investment decisions, even in the face of potential bubbles [25][43]. Group 2: Historical Context and Future Predictions - The discussion reflects on the historical context of investment, suggesting that the current AI wave may be the last hurrah of a previous investment era [11][15]. - The article posits that the AI revolution may not lead to the same level of societal change as past technological revolutions, as the underlying structures and user behaviors remain largely unchanged [17][23]. - The notion that AI will fundamentally reshape industries is challenged, with the argument that many existing applications may not deliver the expected efficiency gains [19][21]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy and Strategy - The article emphasizes a shift in investment philosophy, suggesting that future investments should focus on societal benefits rather than merely financial returns [46][48]. - The role of government in shaping investment strategies is highlighted, indicating that collaboration with governmental initiatives may become increasingly important for investors [43][47]. - The discussion concludes with a call for investors to adapt to the changing landscape, moving away from traditional metrics of success towards a more holistic view of societal impact [46][49].