牛市之下，科技板块只会迟到不会缺席

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a "slow bull" trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 7% since early June, driven by significant changes in funding dynamics and a shift in market risk appetite [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The financing balance surged by 26.5 billion yuan in the week of June 27, reaching a new high since February 2025, indicating a transition from a corrective rebound to a trend-driven market [1]. - The current market rally is characterized by a multi-dimensional funding structure, with contributions from financing funds, quantitative funds, and industrial capital, contrasting with the previous dominance of northbound funds [3]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The market's trading focus in July revolves around "anti-involution" and infrastructure, with the former addressing supply-side reforms in overcapacity industries like coal and cement, and the latter focusing on major strategic projects [4]. - The anti-involution sector is seeing intensified policy actions, such as the National Energy Administration's inspection of coal mine production, which has led to significant gains in the coal sector [4]. - The infrastructure sector is primarily centered on the Yajiang Hydropower Project, which has a long construction cycle of 10-15 years, suggesting a medium to long-term investment perspective [5]. Group 3: Technology Sector Opportunities - Despite a temporary lull in the technology sector, the current market conditions are creating significant opportunities due to a decrease in funding congestion and ongoing industrial advancements [5][7]. - The semiconductor sector is poised for a value reassessment, with the STAR 50 Index remaining stagnant while companies like SMIC and Huawei are making technological strides [8][9]. - The AI sector is expected to see a 20-30% increase in domestic AI server shipments due to the release of the H20 chip, with strong visibility in orders for companies like Inspur and Zhongke Shuguang [11]. - The robotics sector is advancing through a structured approach, with significant market growth projected, particularly in humanoid robots, which are expected to reach a market size of 870 billion yuan by 2030 [11]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - The current market is primarily trading on anti-involution and infrastructure narratives, which are more medium to long-term in nature. As volatility occurs, funds may shift, making the technology sector, with its lower funding congestion and strong industrial narrative, a preferred focus for future investments [12].