大盘3600点了，为什么还有人没赚到钱？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent positive trends in the Chinese stock market, highlighting the stabilization of the Shanghai Composite Index above 3500 points and the potential for it to surpass last year's high of 3674 points, while also noting the healthy increase in market volume and sentiment [1][4]. Group 1: Macro Environment - Investors are still stuck in outdated perceptions of the A-share market, such as the belief that it will remain around 3000 points, failing to recognize the changing macro narrative [4]. - Key factors influencing the macro environment include: - Diminished tariff expectations and reduced geopolitical risks [4]. - Anticipated fiscal policy support due to pressures on growth and declining exports [4]. - Increased policy support for the capital market, including initiatives like the "National Nine Articles" [4]. - A surge in domestic liquidity and a low-interest-rate environment leading to a shift of funds from deposits to equities [4]. - Expectations of easing from the Federal Reserve, benefiting emerging markets and particularly A-shares and H-shares [4]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The article identifies critical opportunities that investors may have missed, emphasizing the importance of being present in key moments and sectors [6]. - Notable phases of market uptrends this year include: - The emergence of domestic AI models in February, leading to a revaluation of technology stocks [7]. - The market recovery following a panic sell-off in April due to tariff concerns, supported by long-term funds [7]. - A structural rotation in June, with sectors like stablecoins and healthcare gaining traction [7]. - ETFs are highlighted as advantageous investment vehicles during market surges due to their high liquidity, low fees, and ability to mitigate individual stock volatility [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are cautioned against frequent trading and chasing trends, which can lead to losses [8]. - The article suggests that successful investment requires understanding the nature of industry rotations and focusing on high-potential sectors that have undergone significant corrections [8][10]. - The "Dumbbell Strategy" is recommended, which involves: - Allocating to high-growth sectors like AI and pharmaceuticals while also capturing short-term opportunities in undervalued sectors like finance and infrastructure [15][16]. - Maintaining defensive positions in stable, dividend-paying sectors to hedge against uncertainties [17].