Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant capital influx led by southbound funds, with a record net buying amount exceeding 820 billion HKD in 2023, surpassing the previous annual record set in 2024 [1][3]. Group 1: Southbound Fund Inflows - As of July 25, 2023, the net buying amount of southbound funds reached 8200.28 billion HKD, breaking the previous record of 8078.69 billion HKD for the entire year of 2024 [3][4]. - There have been 32 trading days in 2023 where the net inflow of southbound funds exceeded 100 billion HKD, accounting for 24.06% of the trading days [3][4]. - The single-day net buying record was set on April 9, 2023, with a net purchase of 355.86 billion HKD [3]. Group 2: Market Performance and Valuation - The Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Tech Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index have year-to-date increases of 26.56%, 27.08%, and 25.52%, respectively, ranking among the top global markets [3]. - The influx of southbound funds is attributed to the undervaluation of Hong Kong stocks, with many companies showing strong performance despite significant price declines over the past six years [6]. - The presence of unique domestic assets, such as Tencent and Meituan, along with new consumer companies, has diversified investment options in the Hong Kong market [6]. Group 3: Economic Context and Asset Allocation - The influx of southbound funds reflects a "scarcity of assets" in mainland China, where abundant liquidity is seeking quality investment opportunities [7]. - As of June 2023, China's M2 reached 330 trillion CNY, significantly exceeding GDP, indicating a need for effective asset allocation [7]. - The Hong Kong market offers both stable dividend assets and growth-oriented sectors, making it attractive for mainland investors [7]. Group 4: Pricing Power and Market Dynamics - The continuous inflow of southbound funds has improved liquidity in the Hong Kong market and enhanced the pricing power of mainland investors [9]. - In 2024, southbound funds accounted for approximately 34.64% of the total trading volume in the Hong Kong market, a significant increase from previous years [9]. - The share of foreign capital in the Hong Kong stock market has decreased from 75% in October 2020 to 61% in June 2025, indicating a shift towards greater influence from mainland funds [9][10]. Group 5: Future Market Outlook - The Hong Kong market has shown strong performance in 2023, driven by advancements in AI technology and strong sectors like new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals [12]. - Analysts suggest that future market growth may be limited, relying more on corporate earnings growth rather than valuation expansion [12][13]. - Investment strategies should focus on sectors less affected by tariff impacts and those benefiting from AI advancements to achieve better returns [12][13].
见证历史!南向资金,疯狂买入!
证券时报·2025-07-25 12:01