13个精算师·2025-07-25 11:37Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent adjustments in the predetermined interest rates for personal insurance products in China, highlighting the implications for various insurance companies and the market dynamics involved. Group 1: Predetermined Interest Rate Adjustments - The research value for the predetermined interest rate of ordinary personal insurance products is set at 1.99%, triggering a condition for rate reduction as it has been above this value by 25 basis points for two consecutive quarters [3][8][22]. - Major insurance companies such as China Life, Ping An, and Taikang have announced adjustments to their maximum predetermined interest rates, effective from September, with ordinary products at 2.0%, participating products at 1.75%, and universal products at 1.0% [2][9][18]. - Since the beginning of 2023, the predetermined interest rates have been reduced three times, with significant and rapid declines observed in the three major reference rates [19][20]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Product Strategy - Insurance companies are promoting participating insurance products, which have only seen a 25 basis point reduction in predetermined interest rates, making them more attractive for equity investments and enhancing floating returns [33][34]. - The small adjustment in the predetermined interest rate for participating insurance products reflects a strategic shift towards products that offer both guaranteed and floating returns, aligning with current market conditions [38][41]. - The actual yield for new participating insurance products launched after October 2024 is expected to exceed 3.05%, with over 90% of these products achieving a dividend realization rate above 100% [42][43][48]. Group 3: Regulatory and Economic Context - The adjustments in predetermined interest rates are in line with the dynamic adjustment mechanism established by the financial regulatory authority, which aims to link predetermined rates with market rates [8][22]. - The continuous decline in long-term interest rates, such as the 5-year fixed deposit rate dropping from 2.65% to 1.3%, has influenced the insurance product pricing and development strategies [29][32]. - The insurance industry is undergoing a transformation towards high-quality development, with a focus on product diversification and adapting to regulatory changes [56][57].