反攻一线城市！蜜雪冰城“好兄弟”出手

Core Viewpoint - The domestic coffee market is expected to welcome new members to the "10,000 store club," with Luckin Coffee aiming for rapid expansion and a target of 10,000 stores by 2025 [1][3]. Expansion Strategy - Luckin Coffee is set to open approximately 4,500 new stores in 2024, averaging about 357 new stores per month, indicating a significant acceleration in its expansion efforts [1][3]. - The brand's current store count is nearing 7,000, covering over 300 cities nationwide [1]. Pricing and Cost Control - Luckin Coffee follows a "high quality and affordable" strategy, with product prices primarily in the range of 6-8 yuan [3]. - The company benefits from the strong supply chain capabilities of its parent company, Mixue Group, which has 46,000 stores nationwide, allowing for superior cost control and operational efficiency [3][4]. - The cost of coffee beans supplied to franchisees is less than 70 yuan per kilogram, compared to the industry average of over 120 yuan per kilogram, resulting in a gross margin exceeding 50% for a 5.9 yuan Americano [3][4]. Product Development - Luckin Coffee has significantly increased its product launch speed, introducing 32 new products in the first half of the year, an 88% increase year-on-year [4]. - The "True Fruit Coffee" series launched in May achieved over 100 million yuan in sales within a month [4]. Market Potential - The Chinese coffee market is projected to grow, with the industry size expected to reach 313.3 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 18.1% [4]. - Current per capita annual coffee consumption in China is 22.24 cups, with significant room for growth compared to over 300 cups in mature markets like the U.S. and South Korea [4]. Impact of Delivery Wars - Recent delivery service competition has led to a 258% increase in daily order volume, with average store revenue reaching 5,732 yuan on July 12 [5][6]. - The competition has also increased franchise inquiries by 300%, positively influencing consumer price perceptions of coffee [6]. Focus on Urban Expansion - Luckin Coffee is shifting its focus to first and second-tier cities, previously having around 70% of its stores in lower-tier cities [8]. - The company has introduced a support policy for franchisees in major cities, waiving fees totaling 34,000 yuan for two years [8]. Challenges in Urban Markets - Despite the shift, Luckin Coffee faces challenges in penetrating first-tier cities, where its presence is still minimal and often located in suburban areas [9]. - High rental and labor costs in these cities pose a challenge to sustainable profitability, especially when compared to competitors like Luckin Coffee and Kudi Coffee, which have established larger networks [9].