绿电制氢开启“大跃进”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting trends in the global green hydrogen market, highlighting a significant decline in overseas projects while China experiences a surge in investment and development in green hydrogen initiatives [3][4]. Group 1: Global Green Hydrogen Market Trends - The CQ-H2 green hydrogen project in Australia, initially planned with an investment of 12.5 billion AUD (approximately 8.13 billion USD), has been terminated due to rising costs and uncertain market prospects [3]. - Numerous hydrogen projects worldwide have been canceled or postponed, amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars, indicating a crisis in the global green hydrogen market [3][4]. Group 2: China's Green Hydrogen Investment - Major Chinese state-owned enterprises, including State Power Investment Corporation, China Energy Group, and Sinopec, are aggressively investing in green hydrogen projects, indicating a robust domestic market [4][6]. - Sinopec's Kuqa photovoltaic hydrogen production project, with a total investment of nearly 3 billion CNY, is China's first 10,000-ton green hydrogen project, showcasing significant advancements in the sector [6]. - The National Power Investment Corporation is planning a green hydrogen carbon-neutral industrial base in Heilongjiang with a total investment of 60 billion CNY, aiming for an annual output value of 4 billion CNY [7]. Group 3: Project Investments and Capacities - A list of major green hydrogen projects in China shows a total investment of 329.5 billion CNY across ten projects, with the largest being the National Power Investment Corporation's project at 60 billion CNY [8]. - By the end of 2024, the National Energy Group is expected to have over 30 green hydrogen projects, contributing to a national green hydrogen industry chain [8]. Group 4: Challenges in Green Hydrogen Production - The production cost of green hydrogen in China ranges from 33.9 to 42.9 CNY per kilogram, significantly higher than coal-based hydrogen, which is three times more expensive [12]. - The average capacity utilization rate for green hydrogen production facilities is only about 10%, with actual production falling short of planned capacities, indicating inefficiencies in the sector [13]. - The volatility of renewable energy sources like wind and solar complicates the stable production of hydrogen, leading to high costs and low efficiency in green hydrogen projects [14].