Group 1 - The IMF has raised its global economic growth forecasts for the next two years to 3.0% and 3.1%, reflecting a slight increase from previous predictions, but still lower than last year's growth of 3.3% [1] - The IMF has adjusted China's growth forecast for 2025 upward by 0.8 percentage points to 4.8%, citing stronger-than-expected economic activity in the first half of 2025 and lower-than-expected tariffs [1] - The report indicates that despite a decline in exports to the U.S., China's strong sales to other countries have offset this decline, supported by fiscal measures contributing to consumption [1] Group 2 - The IMF projects U.S. economic growth at 1.9% and 2% for the next two years, while the Eurozone's growth forecasts have been raised to 1% and 1.2% [2] - The report highlights that the trade agreement between the U.S. and Europe, which includes a 15% tariff on nearly all European imports, is expected to negatively impact both economies [2] Group 3 - The IMF warns that U.S. inflation is expected to remain above the 2% target in 2026 due to tariff impacts, indicating significant trade-related distortions affecting global economic resilience [3] - The report emphasizes the need for countries to engage in pragmatic cooperation to reduce policy-induced uncertainties and to focus trade negotiations on lowering barriers rather than increasing them against third parties [3] - The IMF calls for clear and consistent communication from central banks in the current uncertain environment, highlighting the importance of central bank independence in both legal and operational aspects [3]
IMF:大幅上调中国经济增长预期
财联社·2025-07-29 15:35