WTO：一季度全球服贸增长放缓，但AI和旅游需求在发力

Core Viewpoint - The World Trade Organization (WTO) reported a slowdown in global service trade growth to 5% year-on-year in Q1 2025, which is about half of the growth rates seen in 2024 and 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Service Trade Performance - In Q1 2025, service exports from Europe and North America grew only by 3%, significantly lower than the 8% and 11% growth rates in Q1 2024 [3]. - In contrast, Asia maintained a strong growth rate of 9% during the same period [3]. - The slowdown in service trade is primarily attributed to "other business services," which encompass a wide range of services delivered mainly in a digital format [5][6]. Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - The growth of "other business services" in Q1 2025 was slower compared to the same period in 2024, with U.S. exports growing by 4% versus 8% previously, and EU exports remaining flat in dollar terms but increasing by 4% in euro terms [8]. - Financial services exports saw a mere 3% growth, reflecting increased global economic uncertainty and reduced investment activity, with EU and U.S. exports growing by only 2% [8]. - Global intellectual property-related services grew by 4% in Q1 2025, down from 7% in 2024, with the EU and U.S. accounting for nearly 70% of exports [9]. Group 3: Regional Performance - International travel saw a 5% increase year-on-year in Q1 2025, with international tourist numbers surpassing pre-pandemic levels for the first time since 2019 [14]. - In Asia, tourism revenue surged by 13%, with China leading at a remarkable 96% growth, followed by Vietnam (33%), Japan (25%), and Thailand (18%) [15]. - In North America, however, tourism revenue declined by 1% [15]. Group 4: Trade Data from Major Economies - From January to May 2025, China's service trade showed steady growth, with total service trade amounting to 32,543.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% [17]. - Travel services experienced the fastest growth, with imports and exports reaching 9,205.5 billion yuan, marking a 12.2% increase [18]. - In North America, the U.S. service exports grew by 5%, while Canada experienced a decline of 6% [19].