13个精算师·2025-08-01 11:41Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry has experienced significant capital inflows and profitability over the past 16 years, but there is a stark divide between companies that distribute dividends and those that do not, indicating a polarization in operational performance [2][3][14]. Group 1: Dividend Distribution in the Insurance Industry - From 2009 to 2024, the insurance industry has cumulatively distributed dividends amounting to 214.4 billion, with a total of 231 dividend distributions [7]. - The cumulative profit of the insurance industry over the same period is 606.4 billion, with a notable increase from 4 million in 2009 to 27.4 billion in 2024 [9]. - Only 35 out of 89 companies that have increased capital have distributed dividends, highlighting that 54 companies have not distributed any dividends despite significant capital inflows [10][11]. Group 2: Capital Inflows and Profitability - The insurance industry has seen a total of 325.3 billion in new shareholder capital over the past 16 years, with 249 instances of capital increases [8]. - The 35 companies that have distributed dividends accounted for 54% of the total new capital inflows, while the 54 companies that have not distributed dividends accounted for 46% of the inflows but have collectively incurred losses of 31.5 billion [13]. - The profitability of the 35 dividend-distributing companies reached 637.9 billion, surpassing the total profit of the entire industry, while the other 54 companies reported cumulative losses [13][14]. Group 3: Performance of Leading Companies - Among the companies with over 10 dividend distributions, notable performers include PICC Property and Casualty, Ping An Property & Casualty, and Taikang Property, with five companies having cumulative dividends exceeding their total shareholder contributions [17]. - The top ten companies in terms of cumulative dividends from 2009 to 2024 have been identified, showcasing the leaders in the industry [15][17]. - The industry is characterized by two camps: leading companies that have transitioned into a profit-sharing phase and others that continue to struggle with capital increases without returns [14].