美股深夜跳水，市值蒸发超1万亿美元；美联储9月降息概率大增，特朗普再次发声

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in U.S. stock markets due to unfavorable employment data and tariff policies, leading to a market capitalization loss exceeding $1 trillion [2][4]. Market Performance - On August 1, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.23%, the S&P 500 dropped by 1.60%, and the Nasdaq index decreased by 2.24%, marking the largest decline since April [2][4]. - Major technology stocks experienced substantial losses, with Amazon's stock plummeting over 8% [6]. Employment Data - The U.S. Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls increased by only 73,000 in July, falling short of expectations, while the unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.2% [8]. - Revisions to previous months' data showed a significant downward adjustment, with May's non-farm payrolls revised from 144,000 to just 19,000, and June's from 147,000 to 14,000 [8]. Tariff Policies - The uncertainty stemming from U.S. tariff policies has heightened corporate caution, contributing to a deteriorating labor market [9]. - On July 31, President Trump signed an executive order to implement reciprocal tariffs on various countries, with rates ranging from 10% to 41%, effective August 1 [9]. Federal Reserve Outlook - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September surged from 37.7% to 75.5% following the employment data release [3]. Commodity Market Reaction - Following the economic data release, the U.S. dollar index dropped significantly, falling from 100.23 to 98.66, a decline of 1.38% [11]. - Oil prices also saw a notable decrease, with WTI crude oil down by 2.00% and Brent crude oil down by 2.89% [13]. - In contrast, gold prices surged, surpassing $3,360 [13].