广东：隐性债务连续四年清零，腾出空间，轻装上阵

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong's economy is showing signs of recovery with a GDP growth of 4.2% in the first half of 2025, indicating a rebound after three consecutive quarters of improvement, despite being lower than the national growth rate [1][5][10]. Economic Performance - Guangdong's general public budget revenue increased by 2.5%, outperforming the national average by 2.8 percentage points [1]. - The urban survey unemployment rate is 0.1 percentage points lower than the national average, with over 1 million recent graduates employed in the province within six months [1]. - The manufacturing PMI for Guangdong reached 50.4 in June, indicating a return to expansion, surpassing the national level of 49.7 [1]. Debt Management - Guangdong has maintained a zero balance of hidden debt for four consecutive years since 2021, showcasing effective risk management and fiscal health [2][3][33]. - The province's proactive approach to dismantling the old "real estate-finance-local government infrastructure" cycle has facilitated a stable economic recovery [2][8]. Economic Structure and Growth Drivers - The economic growth in Guangdong is supported by a structural optimization of the "three drivers" (consumption, investment, and exports) [13]. - Consumption has become a key stabilizing factor, with retail sales growing by 3.5% in the first half of 2025, driven by policies promoting consumer spending [13][14]. - Exports showed resilience, with a 4% increase in foreign trade, contributing significantly to national trade growth [14][15]. Investment Trends - Real estate investment has declined significantly, from 1.75 trillion yuan in 2021 to 1.12 trillion yuan in 2024, while industrial investment has increased, becoming the mainstay of provincial investment [15][17]. - The focus on optimizing investment structure rather than merely expanding investment scale is evident, with industrial investment reaching a record high [17][19]. Industrial and Technological Advancements - The automotive industry in Guangdong has seen a significant shift towards new energy vehicles, with production increasing dramatically [21][24]. - The electronics sector is thriving, with major companies like Huawei and ZTE innovating despite external pressures, leading to substantial growth in high-tech product output [24][31]. - Guangdong's R&D expenditure has reached approximately 510 billion yuan, reflecting a strong commitment to innovation [29][31]. Regional Development and Coordination - The economic growth in Guangdong is increasingly balanced across urban and rural areas, with rural income growth outpacing urban income growth [27]. - The province is focusing on coordinated regional development, enhancing the economic structure and promoting high-quality growth [26][27]. Conclusion - Guangdong's economic recovery is characterized by a shift towards high-quality development, driven by innovation, structural optimization, and effective debt management, positioning the province for sustainable growth in the coming years [28][35].