美国消费者面临1934年来最高关税税率

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant impact of the newly implemented "reciprocal tariffs" by the Trump administration, indicating that American consumers are facing the highest tariff rates since 1934, which will lead to increased household expenses and economic challenges in the coming years [1][4]. Summary by Sections - Tariff Rates and Impact The average effective tariff rate on imports in the U.S. has reached 18.3%, the highest since 1934, with new tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% set to take effect on August 7 [1][4]. - Economic Consequences The Yale Budget Lab predicts that the tariff policy will reduce the annual GDP growth rate by 0.5 percentage points for both 2025 and 2026, and increase the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points by the end of 2025 and 0.7 percentage points by the end of 2026 [7]. - Household Spending Increase By 2025, the average American household is expected to see an increase in expenses by $2,400 due to tariffs, with clothing and footwear prices particularly affected—projected short-term increases of 40% for shoes and 38% for clothing [7]. - Long-term Price Projections Long-term projections suggest that shoe prices may rise by 19% and clothing prices by 17% [7]. - Consumer Behavior Adjustments If American households adopt cost-saving measures, such as purchasing lower-cost goods, the overall financial burden may be reduced to $2,000 [8]. - Economic Outlook The analysis from Yale serves as a warning of increasingly difficult economic conditions for American households in the upcoming months, especially in light of recent disappointing non-farm employment reports [9].