重回3600点！刚刚，央行重磅发布！

Core Viewpoint - A-shares have shown strong performance, with major indices collectively rising and the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 3600 points, indicating a potential confirmation of a bull market [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market saw a significant increase, with over 3900 stocks rising and the Shanghai Composite Index gaining nearly 1% [1][5]. - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 1.6 trillion yuan, with sectors such as telecommunications, consumer electronics, banking, insurance, and brokerage leading the gains [3]. Group 2: Policy Support - The People's Bank of China and seven other departments issued guidelines to support new industrialization, aiming to promote the industry towards mid-to-high-end development and prevent excessive competition [6]. - This policy is expected to boost sentiment in high-end manufacturing and technology sectors in the short term, while optimizing financial supply to accelerate industrial upgrades in the long term [7]. Group 3: Positive Factors for A-shares - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has strengthened, with the probability of a cut in September rising to 94.4% following a significant downward revision of U.S. non-farm payroll data [8]. - There has been an influx of funds into the A-share market, with the financing balance nearing 2 trillion yuan, indicating a diverse structure of new capital [9]. - The market sentiment has improved, with 1.9636 million new accounts opened in July, a nearly 20% increase from June and over 70% year-on-year growth [10]. Group 4: Future Market Trends - Analysts suggest that the current market conditions support a "slow bull" trend, with potential for the market to break through the 3674-point resistance level [4]. - The upcoming half-year reports will be crucial, and the focus is expected to shift towards performance-driven investment strategies [4]. Group 5: Investment Strategies - The report highlights three main investment themes: military industry, AI, and "anti-involution" policies, which are expected to provide long-term opportunities [12]. - The military sector is anticipated to benefit from national strategic deployments and global military trade market improvements [13]. - The AI sector is expected to see growth in domestic computing power and downstream applications, while "anti-involution" policies will focus on improving profitability and valuation in cyclical sectors [17].