公募加码、ETF爆量、南向破纪录，港股后市机会在哪儿？

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has experienced significant volatility, with southbound capital showing dramatic fluctuations, but the long-term investment trend remains strong, particularly in the technology sector [3][5][6]. Group 1: Market Performance and Capital Flow - The Hong Kong stock market has shown a pattern of rising and then falling, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index experiencing maximum drawdowns of 5.3% and 7.79% respectively in the last 10 trading days as of August 5 [5]. - On August 4, southbound capital saw a net outflow exceeding 18 billion HKD, while on August 5, it reversed direction with a net inflow of 234.25 billion HKD, indicating a strong recovery in buying interest [5][6]. - Year-to-date, southbound capital inflows have reached 884.38 billion HKD, surpassing the total inflow for the entire previous year of 807.87 billion HKD, marking a historical high [6][7]. Group 2: ETF and Fund Investment Trends - The trend of investing in Hong Kong stocks through ETFs has surged, with the total scale of 79 Hong Kong Stock Connect-themed ETFs reaching 238.16 billion HKD, nearly doubling from 81.99 billion HKD at the end of last year, an increase of 190.45% [6][7]. - Public funds have increased their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, with over 1,700 products raising their Hong Kong stock positions in the second quarter, and the proportion of public fund holdings in Hong Kong stocks rising from 36.9% to 39.8%, a record high since the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect [7][8]. Group 3: Sector Focus and Investment Logic - The public funds have focused on increasing their holdings in the pharmaceutical, banking, and non-bank financial sectors, with significant increases in shares for companies like CSPC Pharmaceutical and China Construction Bank [10]. - The current valuation uplift in the Hong Kong stock market is attributed to policy benefits, global liquidity easing, and market sentiment, shifting the core logic from mere valuation recovery to a value reassessment based on new productive forces and high-quality development [10][11]. - As southbound capital's share continues to rise, the investment characteristics of the Hong Kong market are changing, with a decreasing correlation with global markets and a higher correlation with A-shares [10][11].