【国信电子|半导体8月投资策略】看好本土制造产业链和周期性复苏的模拟芯片

Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes optimism towards the domestic manufacturing supply chain and the cyclical recovery of analog chips in the semiconductor industry [3][5]. Group 1: Market Overview - In July 2025, the SW semiconductor index rose by 3.08%, underperforming the electronic industry by 3.51 percentage points and the CSI 300 index by 0.46 percentage points [3][10]. - The SW semiconductor index's PE (TTM) was 87.13x as of July 31, 2025, placing it at the 67.15 percentile since 2019 [3][14]. - The sub-sectors showing the highest growth included discrete devices (+8.21%), semiconductor equipment (+3.75%), and integrated circuit packaging and testing (+3.48%) [3][10]. Group 2: Industry Data Update - Global semiconductor sales in June 2025 reached $599.1 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.5% [7][24]. - China's semiconductor sales were $172.4 billion in June, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.1% [7][24]. - The prices of DRAM and NAND Flash continued to rise, with DRAM contract prices increasing from $2.10 to $2.60 and NAND Flash prices from $2.92 to $3.12 in June [26][29]. Group 3: Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q2 2025, the proportion of semiconductor holdings in active funds was 10.1%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the previous quarter [6][23]. - The top five semiconductor heavyweights in active funds accounted for 37.1% of the total, slightly down from 37.9% in 2025 [19][21]. - Notable changes in the top twenty holdings included the addition of Naxin Micro and Si Rui Pu, replacing Feng Zha Technology and Ao Jie Technology [21][23].