部分顶流基金经理光环褪去

Core Viewpoint - After three years of underperformance, active equity funds have rebounded significantly in 2024, with a notable performance divergence among top fund managers [1][3]. Performance Overview - The "Wande Mixed Equity Fund Index," representing active equity funds, showed a performance of -21.03% in 2022, -13.52% in 2023, and a positive 3.45% in 2024, compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's performance of -15.13%, -3.70%, and 12.67% respectively [3]. - As of August 6, 2024, the Wande Mixed Equity Fund Index has increased by 16.67%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by over 8 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by over 12 percentage points [3]. Star Fund Managers' Performance - Among 242 active equity funds managed by star fund managers with over 10 billion in assets, only 35% outperformed the Wande Mixed Equity Fund Index, while 68% outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, and 85% outperformed the CSI 300 Index [4][5]. - Notably, over 60% of these funds underperformed the average of active equity funds, with 30% lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index [5]. Sector Analysis - The underperformance of some star fund managers is attributed to their heavy investments in core stocks, particularly in the food and beverage sector, which has seen declines this year [5][11]. - The food and beverage sector index dropped by 6.06%, with the liquor index down by 8.41% as of August 7, 2024 [5]. Top Performers - Fund managers like Ge Lan and Zhao Bei have excelled, with Ge Lan's funds showing returns of 68.97% and 25.36% respectively, primarily due to heavy investments in innovative drugs, especially in Hong Kong stocks [7]. - Zhao Bei's funds have also performed well, with returns of 89.92% and 63.59%, benefiting from significant allocations to innovative drugs [7][8]. Growth Style Managers - A number of growth-oriented fund managers have also shown strong performance, with returns exceeding 30% for several funds managed by Du Meng and Li Xiaoxing [9]. - These managers have successfully navigated structural market changes by investing in emerging sectors such as AI, innovative drugs, and new consumption [9]. Underperformers - Some previously top-performing fund managers, such as Zheng Chengran and Liu Yanchun, have struggled, with several funds showing negative returns due to heavy exposure to underperforming sectors like liquor and renewable energy [11]. - The rapid market style shifts and the inability to adapt investment strategies have contributed to their underperformance [11]. Future Outlook - The public fund industry is expected to evolve towards a more team-oriented and systematic approach, with a shift away from reliance on star fund managers [12].