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科技板块回调,原因何在?后市关注这两件大事!
天天基金网·2025-08-08 12:28

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with all three major indices closing lower, driven by a rally in the cement and infrastructure sectors while the technology sector faced a pullback [1][3]. Group 1: Market Overview - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 1.71 trillion yuan, with sectors like cement, infrastructure, and energy metals rising against the trend, while software, semiconductors, and AI technology sectors collectively retreated [3]. - Analysts suggest that the Shanghai Composite Index is near previous high points, indicating potential selling pressure above, and caution is advised regarding high-level fluctuations [3]. - Despite short-term volatility, the medium-term outlook for the A-share market remains positive, with expectations of a gradual upward shift in index levels supported by capital and fundamental recovery [3]. Group 2: Technology Sector Analysis - The technology sector's decline is attributed to disappointing earnings from SMIC and profit-taking following the launch of GPT-5 by OpenAI [5][6]. - SMIC's stock fell over 8% in Hong Kong and more than 4% in A-shares due to underwhelming second-quarter financial results and a cautious outlook for the fourth quarter, raising doubts about the semiconductor recovery cycle [6][7]. - The announcement of GPT-5, which significantly improves capabilities, did not boost the tech sector as expected, leading to some investors cashing out [7]. Group 3: Future Opportunities - Institutions believe that short-term emotional disturbances do not undermine the long-term industrial logic, and a mid-term investment window is opening, particularly in policy-driven and performance-oriented segments [8]. - Key upcoming events, such as the World Robot Conference and Apple's fall event, are expected to provide catalysts for the AI market and domestic computing power applications [9]. - Recommendations for investment strategies include cautious risk management in the short term while gradually positioning in domestic computing power and AI applications [11].