起点锂电·2025-08-09 07:23Core Viewpoint - The global commercial and industrial energy storage market is projected to experience significant growth, with shipments expected to reach 25.4 GWh in 2024 and 30.6 GWh in the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year growth rates of 107% and 125% respectively. By 2025 and 2030, the market is forecasted to reach 60.5 GWh and 439 GWh respectively [1]. Group 1: European Market - The European commercial and industrial energy storage market is characterized by "policy-driven explosion and innovative profit models," with a shipment volume of 4 GWh in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 93% year-on-year growth [6]. - Germany and France are the core growth areas, with Germany's typical project IRR rising to 16.88% and payback periods shortening by over 30% [6]. - Independent storage projects are increasing, with their share rising from 36% in 2024 to 43% in 2025, and Spain seeing 82.9% of new applications being independent storage projects [6]. Group 2: Policy Drivers in Europe - Dynamic pricing mechanisms are becoming widespread, with Spain's intraday price difference reaching €169.47/MWh, and Germany expanding arbitrage opportunities through time-of-use pricing [7]. - Subsidy policies are being enhanced, with the Czech Republic offering a 35% investment cost subsidy and Spain's Andalusia region receiving €70 million for independent storage [7]. - The EU's "Green New Deal" aims for 45% renewable energy by 2030, with Spain planning to add 6.68 GW/36.9 GWh of storage by 2025 [8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape in Europe - Chinese companies are adopting localization strategies, with partnerships like Sige新能源 and Aprilice reaching a 1 GWh framework agreement [9]. - Direct investments are being made, such as派能科技 establishing a local entity in Europe [9]. Group 4: U.S. Market - The U.S. commercial and industrial energy storage market is showing "accelerated stock and pressured increment," with a shipment volume of 1.8 GWh in the first half of 2025, a 60% year-on-year increase [10]. - Large-scale battery storage projects added 4.618 GW/15.09 GWh from January to May, with a 70.45% year-on-year capacity growth [10]. - However, project cancellations and delays surged by 108%, with Texas accounting for 55% of the new cancellations [10]. Group 5: Policy Environment in the U.S. - The expiration of a 54% tariff on Chinese goods and potential tax credit terminations could lead to a 27% decline in expected installation volumes over five years [12]. - Emerging markets like Indiana are rising due to clear land and policy, while California's NEM3.0 rules are hindering growth [12]. Group 6: African Market - The African commercial and industrial energy storage market is driven by "power shortages and off-grid demand," with Nigeria's population facing severe electricity shortages [14]. - Off-grid solutions are expanding rapidly, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, where approximately 600 million people lack electricity [15]. - The market is expected to add 1.2 GWh of new installations in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 68% [19]. Group 7: Australian Market - The Australian commercial and industrial energy storage market is characterized by "policy incentives and electricity arbitrage," with planned large storage projects reaching 10 GWh in 2025 [21]. - The federal SolarSunshot plan is investing AUD 1 billion to boost local photovoltaic supply chains [22]. - The market is projected to add 3.8 GWh of new commercial and industrial storage in 2025, with large storage installations expected to reach 18 GW by 2035 [23].