气候变化威胁能源安全，如何应对和评估

Core Viewpoint - Climate change is a global challenge that impacts not only environmental protection but also energy security, social stability, and risk distribution [2] Group 1: Climate Change and Energy Security - The urgency and complexity of addressing climate change have intensified due to rising resource risks, trade protectionism, and sluggish global economic growth, particularly affecting underdeveloped regions [3] - Human activities have led to a global temperature increase of 1.2°C compared to pre-industrial levels, with a high probability of exceeding the 1.5°C threshold in the next five years [3] - Extreme weather poses systemic threats to energy systems, affecting wind power efficiency due to reduced wind speeds and increasing power supply tensions due to high temperatures and droughts [3] Group 2: Strategies for Energy Resilience - A model indicates that for every unit increase in the extreme climate risk index, total power generation will significantly decline, with wind power being the most affected [4] - Four strategies proposed to address these challenges include: 1. Establishing a climate risk monitoring and early warning system [4] 2. Optimizing diversified energy supply and promoting collaboration among wind, solar, hydro, and thermal power [4] 3. Creating an emergency mechanism for the electricity market under extreme climate conditions [4] 4. Innovating climate financial products, such as carbon asset insurance and green industry funds, to support energy resilience [4] Group 3: Comprehensive Development Goals (CDGs) - The report presented at the seminar critiques existing global development indicators, highlighting limitations in the Human Development Index (HDIs) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) [5] - The new Comprehensive Development Goals (CDGs) framework emphasizes a "bottom-up, practice-driven" approach, focusing on "human development and social progress" across five dimensions: innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and sharing [5] - The CDGs report suggests incorporating natural capital into core indicators, increasing spatial dimension analysis, and utilizing AI technology for future trend predictions [6]