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创新药十年蝶变!从跟跑到领跑,普通人的财富密码藏在哪?
券商中国·2025-08-10 23:30

Core Viewpoint - The investment value of innovative drugs is not a short-term pulse but a long-term industrial dividend, with optimal solutions for sharing this dividend through index tools in golden tracks [1] Group 1: Performance of Innovative Drug Indices - Since July, the National Index for Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drugs and the China Securities Innovative Drug Industry Index have reached new highs, with year-to-date increases of 106.7% and 32.3% respectively as of July 31 [2] - The impressive performance of these indices reflects a decade-long transformation of China's innovative drug industry from "follower" to "leader" [2] - Recent inflows into ETFs tracking innovative drug indices have been significant, with a net inflow of 4.26 billion yuan from August 4 to August 8 and over 16 billion yuan since June [2] Group 2: Index Adjustments and Sensitivity - The recent upgrade of the Hong Kong Stock Innovative Drug Index aims to enhance its focus by excluding CXO companies and increasing adjustment frequency from semi-annual to quarterly, effective August 12 [3][4] - This adjustment allows the index to better capture the core drivers of the innovative drug industry, focusing on pharmaceutical companies that lead drug development and hold key patents [3] - The increased adjustment frequency enhances the index's sensitivity, enabling it to quickly identify emerging growth companies in a rapidly evolving market [4] Group 3: Policy Support for Innovative Drugs - The innovative drug industry has received significant policy support this year, with the State Council's 2025 strategic goal to create a globally competitive innovation ecosystem [5] - Multiple regulatory bodies have introduced supportive measures, including optimizing review processes and reopening IPO channels for unprofitable companies [6] - The 2024 medical insurance fund expenditure on innovative drugs is projected to be 3.9 times that of 2020, with an annual growth rate of 40% [7] Group 4: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - By the end of 2024, China is expected to have 3,575 original innovative drugs in clinical trials, surpassing the U.S. and becoming the global leader [7] - The proportion of first-in-class (FIC) drugs has increased from less than 10% in 2015 to 24% in 2024, indicating a significant enhancement in original innovation capabilities [7] - The innovative drug market in China currently accounts for less than 10% of the total pharmaceutical market, indicating substantial growth potential compared to over 20% in other G20 countries [9] Group 5: Investment Opportunities in Innovative Drugs - The China Securities Innovative Drug Industry Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 32.3%, with significant upside potential remaining [8] - The long-term growth of the innovative drug market is supported by an aging population and increasing demand for treatments for chronic diseases and rare diseases [8] - Investing in ETFs that track the innovative drug sector provides a way to mitigate risks associated with individual stock investments while capitalizing on overall industry growth [9]