降息概率90%？美联储重磅！

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has a 90.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with a 9.3% chance of maintaining the current rate [1] - The probability of maintaining the rate in October is 4.5%, while the cumulative probabilities for a 25 basis point and 50 basis point cut are 48.9% and 46.5% respectively [1] - Upcoming CPI and PPI data releases are critical, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the recent rebound in the U.S. stock market and reignite concerns about stagflation [1] Group 2 - The South Korean stock index opened up by 0.3%, while the Japanese market was closed for a holiday [2] - The U.S. government's proposed 39% tariff on Swiss gold bars has caused significant turbulence in international financial markets [2] - The White House has denied the tariff plans, labeling the reports as "misinformation," which has led to increased market anxiety due to conflicting statements from the U.S. Customs and Border Protection [3] Group 3 - Bitcoin has surpassed $119,000 [4] - Crude oil futures have declined, while the ICE U.S. Dollar Index has seen a slight increase [5] - President Trump is set to meet with President Putin to discuss a potential ceasefire agreement regarding Ukraine [5]