天天基金网·2025-08-11 05:09Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of mining operations in the Jiangxi Yichun area has significantly impacted lithium carbonate prices, with expectations of price fluctuations in the near future due to supply disruptions [1][9]. Group 1: Company Responses - Ningde Times confirmed the suspension of mining operations at the Jiangxi project after the mining license expired on August 9, stating that they are in the process of renewing the license and that the overall impact on the company's operations is minimal [1][9]. - Analysts suggest that if Ningde Times fully absorbs the cost pressure from rising lithium prices, a 10,000 yuan increase per ton could lead to a 4% decline in the company's gross margin, although the impact is considered manageable [10]. Group 2: Market Reactions - On August 11, lithium mining stocks surged, with companies like Jiangte Electric and Yongshan Lithium Industry hitting the daily limit up [2][4]. - The main contract for lithium carbonate futures reached a limit increase, trading at 81,000 yuan per ton, reflecting an 8% rise from the previous closing price of 75,000 yuan [5][6]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The suspension at the Jiangxi mine, which contributes approximately 10,000 tons per month (12.5% of domestic production), is expected to create a supply gap of several thousand tons per month, particularly as demand for lithium carbonate is anticipated to remain strong due to policies supporting electric vehicle purchases [9]. - Market analysts predict that lithium prices may rise above 80,000 yuan per ton in the coming days due to supply disruptions, before stabilizing in the range of 70,000 to 80,000 yuan per ton [8][9].