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A股又大涨,火速研判!“或再度上攻”
中国基金报·2025-08-11 11:37

Core Viewpoint - The recent rally in A-shares is attributed to a combination of favorable policies, improved corporate fundamentals, liquidity, and restored investor confidence, with a cautiously optimistic outlook for the market's mid-term upward trend [4][6][10]. Market Performance - As of August 11, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3647.55, up 0.34%, marking six consecutive days of gains; the Shenzhen Component rose 1.46% to 11291.43, and the ChiNext Index increased nearly 2% [2][3]. Factors Driving the Market - Multiple factors are contributing to the six-day rally, including: - Policy support, such as the China Securities Regulatory Commission's control over IPO issuance to alleviate concerns about capital diversion [6]. - Improvement in corporate fundamentals, particularly in the lithium battery sector due to supply chain dynamics and seasonal demand in the electric vehicle market [6]. - External factors, including signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate cuts, which could enhance global liquidity and provide a supportive environment for A-shares [6][9]. Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest focusing on: - New productive forces, "anti-involution" policies, and domestic demand recovery as key investment directions [11][12]. - AI sector, particularly overseas computing power chains and domestic AI applications, as having strong fundamental prospects [12]. - Non-bank financials and cyclical sectors benefiting from policy stimuli aimed at economic stabilization [12]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to experience a rotation of hot sectors, with cautious optimism regarding the mid-term upward trend due to the accumulation of incremental capital and improving profit expectations for A-shares [10][12].