中信建投：牛市中段，关注赛道间轮动

Group 1 - The market is currently in a mid-stage bull market, with a focus on sector rotation as short-term upward momentum faces resistance due to weaker-than-expected PPI and trading volume contraction [3] - There is potential for new investment opportunities in sectors like brain-computer interfaces and liquid cooling, driven by policy catalysts and expanding AI data center needs [3] - The military industry may see continued momentum for 1-2 weeks, with specific attention on new combat capabilities and military trade-related stocks [3] Group 2 - The bull market atmosphere is expected to persist, with potential mainline directions including domestic technological breakthroughs and high global market share manufacturing [5] - Market characteristics such as sector rotation and high micro-level activity are likely to continue until a definitive bull market mainline is established [5] - The market may experience fluctuations leading up to early September, followed by internal adjustment pressures [5] Group 3 - Market sentiment remains strong, with margin trading balances rising, indicating liquidity-driven market dynamics [7] - The market is likely to experience a rotation of hot sectors, with a focus on anti-involution, technological independence, and innovative pharmaceuticals [7] - Short-term trading strategies should prioritize left-side positioning, with attention to potential emotional catalysts in sectors like military, robotics, and new consumption [7] Group 4 - Small-cap stocks are advised to slow down, as their high valuations and reliance on liquidity-driven growth may not be sustainable [9] - The focus should remain on strong industry trends with reasonable valuations, avoiding speculative trading in small-cap stocks [9] - The structural challenges for small-cap stocks may arise as macroeconomic conditions stabilize [9]