全球股市依旧乐观，黄金前景难料

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current global market dynamics amid the "super tariff week," highlighting the contrasting behaviors of gold and stock markets, with a focus on the implications of U.S.-Russia relations and trade negotiations between the U.S. and China [3][4]. Group 1: Market Reactions to Tariff Negotiations - Global traders are currently more concerned about gold than the stock market due to uncertainties surrounding U.S.-China tariff negotiations and the upcoming meeting between U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin [3][4]. - The market's response to tariff negotiations has become muted, with global stock markets reaching new highs, while gold has experienced volatile price movements [4][12]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - Despite tariff uncertainties, there is optimism regarding the Chinese economy, with strong performance in exports and a trade surplus exceeding market expectations [6][10]. - China's overall exports grew by 7.2% year-on-year in July, while imports increased by 4.1%, indicating resilience in trade despite a significant drop in exports to the U.S. [6]. Group 3: Stock Market Performance - Global stock markets have outperformed expectations, with the U.S. indices showing strong performance, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose by 3.8% to reach a new historical high [8][10]. - The Hang Seng Index and MSCI China Index have been among the best-performing stock indices globally, with absolute returns of 28% and 26% respectively this year [10]. Group 4: Gold Market Dynamics - The gold market has been volatile, influenced by news regarding potential tariffs on gold bars, which initially caused prices to spike before a sharp decline following a denial from the White House [12][13]. - Analysts suggest that if gold prices fall below key support levels, it could lead to further downward pressure, while a breakthrough above $3,400 would indicate a continuation of the upward trend [13].