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中国机器人战略、稀土和日本失败连锁
日经中文网·2025-08-14 03:10

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses China's ambition to lead in humanoid robot development, aiming for mass production by 2025 and global dominance by 2027, highlighting the strategic importance of human-like robots as a resource for national power [2][6][8]. Group 1: Humanoid Robots and National Strategy - China views humanoid robots not just as tools for convenience but as a representation of human resources, which are crucial for national strength [6][8]. - The rapid development and production of humanoid robots in China are closely linked to its economic strategies, particularly in the context of rare earth resources [6][9]. - The Chinese government has set ambitious goals for humanoid robot production, with a focus on integrating rare earth resource management into its broader economic strategy [6][9]. Group 2: Technological Advancements and Market Position - China's dominance in the rare earth magnet market, particularly in neodymium magnets used in servo motors for robots, has shifted from Japan to China, with China now holding 80% of the global market share [8][9]. - Projections indicate that by 2050, humanoid robots could replace 30-40% of the workforce in China, the U.S., and other high-income countries, with each robot requiring 2-4 kg of neodymium magnets [8][9]. - The increasing reliance on humanoid robots is expected to create a supply shortage of neodymium-praseodymium alloys starting in 2037, further solidifying China's control over rare earth resources [9][10]. Group 3: Global Implications and Competitor Responses - Other countries, including the U.S. and Japan, are attempting to develop new rare earth mines, but the timeline for production is lengthy, making it difficult to meet immediate needs [12]. - Japan's past failures in industries where it had advantages, such as electric vehicles and hydrogen energy, highlight the need for a strategic approach to robotics and rare earth resource management [12][13]. - Japan is urged to adopt a long-term perspective in its industrial policy, particularly regarding humanoid robots, to mitigate risks posed by China's dominance in the sector [13][14].