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【商用车】2025年7月轻型商用车市场预测研究报告
乘联分会·2025-08-18 08:37

Industry Insights - Foton Motor launched the Aoling new energy product matrix, addressing key pain points for logistics users such as complex purchasing processes, range anxiety, and slow maintenance response, by introducing a closed-loop ecosystem of "vehicle + pile + light + storage + load + intelligence" [3] - Jianghuai Automobile successfully conducted the first national joint debugging of the "chocolate" battery swap commercial vehicle, achieving a battery swap time of 150 seconds [4] - Yuancheng New Energy officially launched the Yuancheng Star Enjoy V7E, marking the third model in its VAN champion family, based on a new "third-generation urban new energy light vehicle platform" [6] Product Analysis - The light truck market is seeing a shift towards differentiation between large battery (above 110 kWh) and smaller battery (below 80 kWh) electric light trucks, with major sales models expected to include Yuancheng Star Wisdom and BYD T5 [9] - The small truck market is upgrading towards electric models with battery capacities above 60 kWh [11] - The micro truck market is experiencing a decline across all fuel types, with new energy penetration remaining low at only 1.2% [13] - The small electric truck market is rapidly shifting from below 60 kWh to above 60 kWh, with key sales models including Geely Yuancheng Star Wisdom F5E and Dongfeng Kaipute EV180 [14] - The light passenger vehicle market has surpassed 60% penetration for new energy, with cargo volume shifting towards 7-8 cubic meters [16] Sales Forecast - Economic factors such as insufficient domestic market demand and consumer confidence are impacting sales, with light commercial electric vehicles becoming the mainstay of the market [18] - The overall light commercial vehicle market is expected to maintain steady growth in 2025, with a projected total sales volume of 2.81 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [20]