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泽连斯基二进白宫,上次献稀土,这次谈领土
经济观察报·2025-08-18 11:08

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant progress made during the meeting between Trump and Putin on August 15, where Russia implicitly recognized the security guarantees provided by the US and Europe to Ukraine, similar to NATO's Article 5 [1][4]. Group 1: Meeting Outcomes - The meeting in Anchorage resulted in Russia's implicit acknowledgment of US and European security guarantees for Ukraine, allowing for a Western coalition to defend Ukraine if attacked by Russia [4]. - The details of the meeting suggest that there may be more undisclosed information, particularly regarding the discussions between Trump and Putin during their private time together [4][3]. Group 2: Peace and Ceasefire Agreements - Ukraine and the EU are seeking a ceasefire agreement, while Russia prefers a comprehensive peace agreement that addresses most issues at once [5][6]. - Trump appears to favor reaching a peace agreement, which aligns with Russia's desire for a resolution [6]. Group 3: Russian Objectives - Russia aims to achieve four key outcomes through compromises: legitimizing occupied territories, lifting sanctions from the US and Europe, restructuring the European security framework, and normalizing US-Russia relations [7][8]. - To facilitate these goals, Russia has accepted the security guarantees for Ukraine from the US and Europe [8]. Group 4: Territorial Issues - The article highlights the contentious issue of territorial exchanges, particularly regarding the Donbas region, where Russia has a strong interest in controlling certain areas [10]. - There are indications that Russia may seek to exchange territories it occupies for the remaining parts of Donetsk, which could be seen as humiliating for Ukraine [11][10]. Group 5: Sanctions and Future Negotiations - If a peace agreement is reached, it is likely to include a limited lifting of sanctions rather than a complete removal [14]. - The article predicts that Russia may not achieve its territorial ambitions through either military or diplomatic means and will likely have to accept the current situation [14].