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A股大涨,原因来了!公募最新研判
中国基金报·2025-08-18 11:27

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has reached a 10-year high, with the Shanghai Composite Index hitting 3745.94 points, driven by various factors including monetary policy and sector performance [2][5][6]. Market Performance - On August 18, the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3728.03, up by 31.26 points or 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component rose by 200.90 points or 1.73% [3]. - The total market turnover was 2.8 trillion yuan, and the total market capitalization of A-shares surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time [2]. Factors Driving Market Growth - The continuation of a loose monetary policy has kept market liquidity abundant, encouraging capital inflow into the stock market [6]. - A shift in various types of funds towards the stock market has been observed, with a notable decrease in household and corporate deposits [6]. - The demand for AI-related technologies has surged, boosting orders for GPUs, ASIC chips, and other related components, making it a key investment theme [7]. - Easing trade tensions between China and the U.S. has alleviated market concerns regarding trade disputes [8]. Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain upward momentum, supported by favorable funding conditions and policy alignment [10]. - There is a focus on sectors such as cyclical industries, technology, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption trends for potential investment opportunities [12]. - The market may experience a rotation of trading logic, with a strong emphasis on sectors like brokerage and technology, particularly in AI and innovative pharmaceuticals [13]. Investment Opportunities - Companies in the technology sector, especially those involved in AI, innovative drugs, and high-market-share manufacturing, are seen as potential leaders in the market [13]. - The focus on cyclical stocks, technology manufacturing, and new consumption is expected to continue, with specific attention to sectors like rare earths, cobalt, and photovoltaic in the short term [13].