【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年8月13日-8月19日)

Group 1: Retail Sales - In July 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales amounted to 34,931 billion yuan, growing by 4.3% [2][4] - From January to July 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 284,238 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.8%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales were 257,014 billion yuan, growing by 5.3% [2][4] Group 2: Fixed Asset Investment - From January to July 2025, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 288,229 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.6%. Private fixed asset investment decreased by 1.5% [5][6] - In July 2025, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 0.63% month-on-month [6] - By industry, the first industry saw an investment of 5,646 billion yuan (growth of 5.6%), the second industry 104,455 billion yuan (growth of 8.9%), and the third industry 178,128 billion yuan (decline of 2.3%) [6] Group 3: Industrial Production - In July 2025, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.38% [7][8] - From January to July 2025, the industrial added value increased by 6.3% year-on-year [8] - By sector, mining industry added value grew by 5.0%, manufacturing by 6.2%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 3.3% [8] Group 4: Energy Production - In July 2025, the production of crude oil was stable, with an output of 1,812 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.2% [17] - Natural gas production accelerated, reaching 216 billion cubic meters in July, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4% [19] - Electricity production increased by 3.1% year-on-year in July, totaling 9,267 billion kilowatt-hours [21]