听说大量商场正在倒闭？

Core Viewpoint - The retail landscape in China is undergoing a profound transformation, with traditional shopping malls facing significant decline while new commercial formats and county-level shopping centers are emerging and thriving [30]. Group 1: Decline of Traditional Malls - Many shopping malls across China are experiencing closures, with at least 38 malls shutting down in 2024, 76% of which had been operating for over 10 years [11]. - Major cities like Shanghai and Beijing are witnessing negative growth in retail sales, with Shanghai's social retail sales declining by 3.1% and Beijing by 2.7% in 2024 [12]. - High-end malls, such as Beijing SKP, have seen significant drops in sales, with a 17% decrease reported in 2024 [13]. Group 2: Factors Contributing to Decline - Consumer downgrade is a primary factor, as middle and lower-income groups face reduced income and spending power, leading to a decline in high-end mall patronage [12][13]. - The rise of new retail formats, particularly instant retail, is capturing market share from traditional malls, with the instant retail market projected to exceed 2 trillion yuan by 2030 [14]. - Internal issues such as lack of differentiation and oversaturation of similar brands in malls contribute to their declining attractiveness [16]. Group 3: Emergence of New Commercial Formats - Despite the decline of traditional malls, some shopping centers are thriving by innovating and adapting to consumer preferences, with over 73% of shopping centers reporting sales growth in 2024 [22]. - Unique shopping experiences, such as those offered by high-end centers like Chengdu's Taikoo Li and Beijing's SKP, are attracting consumers [22]. - The rise of independent supermarkets and convenience stores is also reshaping the retail landscape, with convenience store sales increasing by 4.7% in 2024 [24]. Group 4: Growth of County-Level Commercial Centers - In contrast to urban malls, county-level commercial centers are proliferating, driven by rising consumer demand and urbanization, with retail sales in rural areas growing faster than in urban centers [28][29]. - Developers are increasingly investing in county-level commercial projects, recognizing the potential for growth in these markets [29]. - The shift in consumer behavior towards experiential and brand-oriented shopping is evident in the success of county-level malls that cater to these needs [30].