业内人士预计天然钻石市场将回暖

Core Viewpoint - The diamond industry is experiencing a temporary decline in prices and sales, but long-term trends indicate a steady increase in diamond prices due to limited natural diamond reserves [4][5][8]. Group 1: Price Trends - Natural diamond rough prices have increased by 37% since 2007, with an average annual growth rate of about 3% for finished diamonds over the past 35 years [3][4]. - The global diamond market saw a significant price increase of 40% between 2021 and 2022, followed by a price correction due to high inventory levels in the Indian cutting industry and increased financing costs [4][5]. - Investment-grade diamonds, particularly those over 5 carats, have been less affected by recent price declines, making them attractive to potential investors [8]. Group 2: Supply and Demand - The annual production of diamonds has been declining, from 160-180 million carats in the early 21st century to an estimated 110 million carats by 2024 [5]. - The diamond market is expected to recover, with a projected increase in diamond imports in China, which is the largest jewelry market, accounting for 35% of global jewelry consumption [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The diamond price index is expected to grow by 3%-5% annually over the next decade, with stronger growth anticipated after 2027 [8]. - Data from the Shanghai Diamond Exchange indicates a significant increase in diamond imports in the first half of 2025, reflecting a rebound in global market demand [8].