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一图看懂A股主要指数离历史高点还有多少空间?
天天基金网·2025-08-22 11:17

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown significant upward momentum, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3800 points on August 22, marking a ten-year high. However, most major indices still need to rise over 50% to reach their historical peaks [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index is currently at 3,826 points, needing a 35.47% increase to reach its historical high of 5,931 points [3]. - The Shenzhen Component Index is 12,166 points, requiring a 67.10% increase to surpass its historical peak [3]. - The CSI 1000 Index is 7,363 points, with a gap of 104.89% to its historical high [3]. - The CSI 500 Index is at 6,820 points, needing a 70.25% increase to reach its historical peak [3]. - The SSE 50 Index is at 2,929 points, requiring a 62.96% increase to surpass its historical high [3]. - The ChiNext Index is at 2,683 points, needing a 50.50% increase to reach its historical peak [4]. Group 2: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs reports that only 22% of household financial assets are allocated to funds and stocks, indicating a potential inflow of over 10 trillion yuan into the market [5]. - The report suggests that the Chinese stock market, particularly small-cap stocks, has significant upside potential, with indices like CSI 1000 and CSI 500 being key areas of focus [5]. - Huaxi Securities believes that the A-share market has ample room for growth, supported by strong economic resilience and a large accumulation of excess savings by households, which could lead to substantial capital inflows into the stock market [5]. - The current low ratios of total market value to household deposits suggest that the "migration" of household savings into the stock market is still in its early stages, which could trigger a positive feedback loop for market growth [5]. - Dongxing Securities anticipates that the market may aim for the 4000-point mark, further enhancing the narrative of a slow bull market and potentially activating off-market capital interest in A-shares [6].