公募FOF年内平均业绩超9%

Core Viewpoint - The average performance of public FOFs has exceeded 9% this year, marking the best state in nearly five years, driven by market recovery and opportunities in equity asset allocation [2][4][6]. Performance Overview - As of August 22, 515 public FOFs achieved an average performance of 9.41% this year, with only one product showing negative returns; nearly 40 FOFs recorded a cumulative net value growth rate exceeding 20% [5]. - The top performers include Guotai's "Optimal Navigation" with a 45.49% increase and "Industry Rotation A" with a 39.97% increase in net value [5]. Market Conditions - The current market environment is characterized by a significant recovery, with domestic and overseas equity markets, as well as commodities like gold, showing strong performance [6][12]. - The A-share market has seen substantial inflows, contributing to the overall positive performance of FOFs [6]. Investment Strategy - There is a shift in public FOF investment strategies from traditional fund selection to a core-satellite model focusing on ETFs, particularly in a structural bull market [7]. - The recommendation is to increase equity asset allocation, especially in "fixed income plus" assets, as the stock market is expected to strengthen structurally over the next three years [9][12]. Asset Allocation Insights - The current "stock-bond seesaw" effect indicates a balanced attractiveness between stocks and bonds, with a focus on technology growth sectors that are historically undervalued or supported by policy [9]. - The macroeconomic stability in China suggests limited upward potential for bonds, while the equity market is recovering, enhancing the risk-reward profile for equities [9][12]. Sector Opportunities - There are notable opportunities in commodities, Hong Kong stocks, and A-shares, with a focus on growth industries such as new materials and renewable energy, as well as cyclical industries like metals [11][13]. - The recommendation is to avoid over-concentration in single sectors and to regularly adjust the stock-bond ratio to maintain alignment with initial risk levels [13].