周三，美股真正的“命运判官”要来了

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Nvidia earnings report is seen as a critical test for the market, especially after the recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding potential interest rate cuts [1][2][4]. Group 1: Nvidia's Impact - Nvidia's market capitalization has surpassed $4 trillion, with its stock price increasing nearly 34% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 9.5% gain [2]. - Nvidia holds a weight of nearly 8% in the S&P 500 index, making its performance crucial for the overall market sentiment [2][4]. - Analysts are closely monitoring key technical levels for Nvidia, including a 50-day moving average around $167 and a short-term resistance level at $184 [3]. Group 2: Market Concentration Risks - Nvidia is the last among the "Big Seven" tech companies to report quarterly earnings, raising concerns about market concentration risks as these companies collectively account for nearly one-third of the S&P 500 index [4]. - Despite a strong earnings season where 80% of the 474 S&P 500 companies that reported exceeded expectations, the market's focus remains on Nvidia as the true test of market resilience [4]. Group 3: Intel's Government Involvement - Former President Trump announced a government stake in Intel valued at approximately $11 billion, claiming it would generate more funds and jobs for the U.S. [5]. - Intel warned that the government's 10% stake could pose risks to its business, potentially increasing to 15% if certain manufacturing thresholds are not met, which could lead to a decline in sales [5]. - Critics argue that this government intervention is unprecedented and threatens the agility of the business environment, drawing parallels to the financial crisis of 2008 [6].