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中国基金报·2025-08-26 10:14

Core Viewpoint - Domestic fuel prices in China have been adjusted downwards, with gasoline and diesel prices per ton reduced by 180 yuan and 175 yuan respectively, effective from August 26, 2025 [2][4]. Price Adjustments - The price adjustments translate to a decrease of 0.14 yuan per liter for 92 gasoline, 0.15 yuan per liter for 95 gasoline, and 0.15 yuan per liter for 0 diesel. Filling a 50-liter tank of 92 gasoline will save approximately 7 yuan [3]. - For private vehicles, assuming a monthly distance of 2000 kilometers and an average fuel consumption of 8L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost per vehicle will decrease by around 10 yuan before the next price adjustment window on September 9, 2025 [3]. - In the logistics sector, for heavy trucks running 10,000 kilometers monthly with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers, the fuel cost per vehicle will drop by approximately 266 yuan before the next adjustment [4]. Historical Price Changes - In 2025, there have been 17 rounds of adjustments in domestic fuel prices, with a net result of 6 increases, 7 decreases, and 4 periods of no change. The current prices for gasoline and diesel have decreased by 405 yuan/ton and 390 yuan/ton respectively compared to the beginning of the year [4][5]. International Oil Market Dynamics - The international oil market has experienced mixed factors, with geopolitical tensions easing and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut influencing oil prices. Recent trends show oil prices initially declining before rebounding [6][8]. - As of the latest reports, Brent crude oil futures fell by 0.23% to $68.64 per barrel, while WTI crude oil futures decreased by 0.54% to $64.46 per barrel, following a period of strong price recovery [8]. - The recent rise in oil prices has been attributed to geopolitical conflicts, particularly the impact of Ukraine's actions against Russian energy facilities, which have raised concerns about supply disruptions [8][9]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that despite increasing geopolitical risks, oil prices remain within a relatively narrow range, indicating strong underlying market fundamentals [8][9]. - The market is closely monitoring U.S. policy developments, particularly regarding potential sanctions on Russia, which could further influence oil supply uncertainties [9]. - Current trends indicate that the recent rebound in oil prices may lead to expectations of future increases in domestic fuel retail prices [10].