申万宏源策略：市场未全面过热

Group 1 - The market shows signs of localized overheating, but it is not fully overheated [2][3] - Short-term market may experience slight corrections, but the overall extent is manageable [3] - The technology sector is expected to present significant investment opportunities due to trends in advanced manufacturing [3] Group 2 - Current A-share sentiment index is at a historically high level [4] - Multiple dimensions such as market liquidity and trading activity indicate a crowded market, particularly in sectors like chemicals, machinery, and electronics [5] - A high number of industries are currently in a state of persistent crowding, which may lead to market adjustments [5] Group 3 - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, real estate, and aerospace [6][7] - Policy support and a shift of household savings towards capital markets are expected to provide strong backing for the market [6] - The overall profit growth of A-share listed companies is projected to turn positive by 2025, with significant elasticity in the technology innovation sector [6]