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菜价悄然上涨
21世纪经济报道·2025-08-26 14:38

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant increase in vegetable prices in China due to extreme weather conditions, which have disrupted production and supply chains, leading to a seasonal price surge in summer [1][5][11]. Price Trends - On August 26, the average prices for oil wheat and cucumber reached 6.25 yuan/kg and 3.5 yuan/kg, respectively, marking an approximate 80% increase compared to early August [1]. - The average price of 28 monitored vegetables rose to 4.90 yuan/kg, a 10.6% increase from August 1 and a 13.2% increase from early July [1][3]. - Specific vegetables like oil wheat saw prices double, while spinach and celery increased by over 1.3 times and 1.6 times, respectively [3]. Seasonal Factors - Seasonal factors are identified as the primary reason for the recent price hikes, with summer typically seeing price increases due to adverse weather conditions affecting vegetable production [5][6]. - The transition from southern to northern vegetable supply during summer leads to temporary supply shortages, contributing to price increases [5][6]. Impact of Extreme Weather - Extreme weather events, such as high temperatures and heavy rainfall, have significantly impacted vegetable production, leading to a "伏缺期" (period of supply shortage) [6][7]. - The adverse weather has caused delays in planting, difficulties in harvesting, and reduced crop yields, further exacerbating supply issues [6][7][11]. Supply Chain Challenges - The logistics of transporting vegetables from production areas to densely populated urban centers are complicated by extreme weather, increasing costs and potential losses during transport [7][11]. - Leafy vegetables and cucumbers are particularly affected due to their sensitivity to weather conditions, leading to more pronounced price increases [7]. Long-term Outlook - Experts suggest that while current price increases are significant, they are likely to be temporary, with prices expected to stabilize as autumn approaches and supply improves [7][12]. - Recommendations for addressing the impact of extreme weather include enhancing disaster monitoring systems, improving agricultural infrastructure, and developing better insurance policies for farmers [12].