莫迪连拒特朗普四次来电，印度硬刚美国关税大棒有何底牌？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the U.S. imposing a 25% punitive tariff on Indian goods due to India's import of Russian oil, resulting in a cumulative tariff rate of 50% on Indian products. India shows no intention of compromising and has implemented policies to support farmers and small businesses affected by these tariffs [3][5]. Group 1: U.S.-India Trade Relations - The U.S. has officially implemented a 25% punitive tariff on Indian goods, leading to a total tariff rate of 50% [3][5]. - India has not shown willingness to compromise, with the government announcing measures to assist farmers and small businesses [3][9]. - U.S. officials have pressured India to stop purchasing Russian oil, suggesting that compliance could lead to a reduction in tariffs [5][6]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The additional tariffs are expected to decrease India's export volume by 20% to 30% [9]. - The tariffs are projected to reduce India's economic growth by 0.8 percentage points for both this year and the next [9]. - The Indian government estimates that the tariffs will impact exports worth $48.2 billion [9]. Group 3: Negotiation Status - Five rounds of trade negotiations have occurred without reaching an agreement, and a planned round of talks has been postponed [7]. - Indian officials had previously been optimistic about a lower tariff rate but are now facing significantly higher rates compared to neighboring countries [7][9]. - The Indian government is encouraging exporters to diversify markets, targeting nearly 50 countries for growth in sectors like textiles and seafood [9].