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经济观察报·2025-08-28 14:11

Core Viewpoint - The transition of the "king of A-shares" from Kweichow Moutai to Cambricon reflects a significant change in valuation logic, shifting from consumer capability and brand premium to technological barriers and market space, symbolizing China's economic transformation and upgrade [1][14][16]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On August 28, Cambricon's stock price surged by 15.73%, closing at 1587.91 yuan per share, surpassing Kweichow Moutai by 141 yuan, marking it as the highest-priced stock in A-shares [2][6]. - Cambricon's market capitalization reached 664.3 billion yuan, with a more than 200% increase in stock price over the past month [6]. - The semiconductor sector's performance is bolstered by strong policy support for the AI industry, with the government aiming for significant integration of AI across key sectors by 2027 [7]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Cambricon reported a turnaround in its financials, achieving a net profit of approximately 10.38 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, compared to a net loss of about 530 million yuan in 2024 [2][8]. - The company's profitability is attributed to the growing demand for AI computing power and strategic partnerships with leading firms in cutting-edge fields [8]. - Goldman Sachs raised Cambricon's 12-month target price from 1223 yuan to 1835 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 47.6% [8]. Group 3: Valuation Comparison - As of August 28, Cambricon's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was approximately 595 times, while Kweichow Moutai's P/E ratio was only 20.2 times, highlighting a stark contrast in valuation approaches [16]. - Kweichow Moutai represents stability and certainty with consistent double-digit growth in revenue and profit, while Cambricon embodies uncertainty and high growth potential, necessitating greater risk tolerance from investors [16][17]. - The valuation gap between Cambricon and Kweichow Moutai is deemed reasonable due to their differing valuation systems, with Cambricon positioned in a high-growth AI chip sector [17].