一图读懂《中国天然气发展报告2025》

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growth and development of the global and Chinese natural gas market, highlighting consumption trends, production increases, and infrastructure advancements, while also addressing the impact of market reforms and pricing mechanisms. Global Natural Gas Market - In 2024, global natural gas consumption is projected to reach 4.13 trillion cubic meters, with a year-on-year growth rate increasing from 0.1% to 2.5% [4] - Major markets show varied growth: Europe up 1.4%, North America up 1.3%, and Asia-Pacific leading with a 4.5% increase [5] - Global oil and gas exploration and development investment is expected to be $554 billion in 2024, marking a 2.5% decline, the first drop since 2021 [5] - Global natural gas production is anticipated to reach 4.12 trillion cubic meters, a 1.5% increase year-on-year [5] - Natural gas trade volume is projected to grow by 1.9% to 1.2 trillion cubic meters in 2024, with pipeline gas trade increasing by 2.2% [6] Natural Gas Prices - The average annual price for TTF natural gas is expected to be $10.9 per million British thermal units, down 15.3% year-on-year [8] - Northeast Asia's LNG spot price is projected to average $11.8 per million British thermal units, a decrease of 26.6% [8] - The HH natural gas spot price is expected to average $2.19 per million British thermal units, down 13.6% [9] Chinese Natural Gas Market - In 2024, China's natural gas consumption is expected to grow by 7.3%, with its share in total primary energy consumption rising to 8.8%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points [10][11] - New proven geological reserves of natural gas in China are projected to exceed 1.6 trillion cubic meters in 2024 [11] - China's natural gas production is expected to reach 246.5 billion cubic meters, a 6.0% increase year-on-year [11] - Natural gas imports are projected to be 181.7 billion cubic meters, a 9.9% increase, with LNG imports growing by 7.7% [12] Infrastructure and Policy Developments - In 2024, over 4,000 kilometers of new long-distance natural gas pipelines are expected to be constructed, bringing the total to over 128,000 kilometers [12] - The implementation of the "Energy Law" provides a legal framework for the natural gas industry, promoting the development of unconventional gas resources [13] - Significant advancements in technology and equipment for natural gas exploration and production are reported, including breakthroughs in deep drilling and seismic exploration [14] Market Reforms and Pricing Mechanisms - Since 2017, China's natural gas market reforms have progressed, with increased market access for private enterprises and a rise in the number of pipeline operators [19] - The establishment of a market-based pricing mechanism for natural gas is underway, with significant progress in terminal price adjustments and the promotion of efficient gas utilization [20][21] - The construction of national trading centers is expected to enhance market liquidity, with trading volumes projected to reach 61.7 billion cubic meters in Shanghai and 48.3 billion cubic meters in Chongqing by 2024 [23]