中国重启日本牛肉进口动向让产地期待升温

Core Viewpoint - Japan's beef industry is optimistic about the potential for exporting beef to China, marking a significant shift after 24 years of import restrictions due to BSE and other issues [6][5]. Group 1: Market Potential - The Japanese beef company KAMICHIKU expresses excitement about the Chinese market, describing it as an "unknown market" with "huge possibilities" [6][4]. - Kagoshima Prefecture's agricultural exports are projected to grow by 28% in 2024, reaching 47.052 billion yen, with beef being a strategic focus [6]. Group 2: Historical Context - Japan's beef exports to China were halted in 2001 due to BSE, and various import bans have been in place since then, including a ban on seafood following the Fukushima disaster [5][6]. - The Japan-China Animal Health and Quarantine Agreement, signed in 2019, is a crucial step towards resuming beef exports, which has now come into effect [6][5]. Group 3: Future Goals - Kagoshima aims to increase its beef export rate, currently below 10%, and targets 50 billion yen in exports by 2025 [6]. - The Japanese government aims to boost agricultural exports by 70% by 2030, with beef as a key category [6]. Group 4: Consumption and Demand - China's beef consumption is projected to reach 10.66 million tons in 2024, a 14.5% increase from 2021, with imports expected to be 2.87 million tons, significantly exceeding Japan's production [7]. - Kumamoto Prefecture is also optimistic about beef exports, having established direct flights to Shanghai to facilitate trade [7]. Group 5: Cautionary Perspectives - Despite the optimism, there are cautious voices regarding the complexities of certification and export conditions that need to be clarified [7]. - The Japanese agricultural sector is advised to diversify trade partners to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single market like China [8].