【十大券商一周策略】中线拿稳、短线勿追！“慢牛”心态，结构更重要

Group 1 - The potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may strengthen a weak dollar environment, catalyzing a new round of growth in resource commodities, particularly precious metals and copper, which could accelerate the performance of the non-ferrous sector [2] - The upcoming product launches from Apple and META in September, focusing on edge AI and AR glasses, may lead to a sustainable trend in edge devices and AI ecosystems, making the consumer electronics sector, especially the Apple supply chain, worth watching [2] - The "anti-involution" trend is expected to reveal three clues: industries with high capital expenditure intensity and signs of marginal reduction, industries showing self-discipline or policy implementation, and industries relying on quotas to continuously improve profit margins [2] Group 2 - The number of innovative drug catalysts is expected to increase significantly in September, and the recent technology switch has cleared out short-term speculative funds, allowing innovative drugs to continue their upward trajectory after this round of adjustments [2] - The market is likely to maintain a trend of oscillating upward, driven by the accumulation of profit effects and continuous inflow of incremental funds, validating the logic of recommending stocks that have overcome loss resistance [4] - The market is expected to remain active with a focus on low penetration sectors such as AI computing power, semiconductor autonomy, solid-state batteries, commercial aerospace, controllable nuclear fusion, and innovative drugs [5] Group 3 - The market is anticipated to operate at a high center with a phase of oscillation and consolidation, supported by active trading and positive policy expectations, while external conditions remain stable [6] - The current market sentiment is high, with significant inflows of incremental funds, particularly from financing, leading to a further acceleration of market growth [7] - The market structure is expected to show significant differentiation, with a focus on alternating upward movements across various sectors to ensure a stable and sustainable "healthy bull" market [8] Group 4 - Long-term capital, particularly from insurance funds, is increasingly entering the A-share market, enhancing the strategic strength and stability of the market, contributing to the current "slow bull" trend [9] - The market is likely to experience oscillation with limited upward space, focusing on structural rotation rather than a broad-based rally, with defensive value in dividend stocks becoming more prominent [10] - The mid-term logic for technology sectors remains solid, with potential strategic opportunities arising from adjustments in September [10] Group 5 - The current bull market is supported by long-term factors such as the impending bottoming of the profit and economic cycle, a supportive funding environment, and positive signals from the industry [14] - The index center is expected to rise further, with a continuation of the total market value growth trend [14]